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CATV Infrastructure:

Assessing Strategies & Forecast


Published by MRG, Inc.
March 2007, 56 pages

Hard Copy Print Edition $1,995.00 US
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Executive Summary

Large U.S. Cable Operators (MSOs) are developing infrastructure strategies to support new services in 2007 to 2010. Digital Simulcast, Switched Video and Node-Size Reduction are among the most popular "Infrastructure Strategies" considered.

Switched video has gained a lot of interest over the last year as MSOs try to extend their available bandwidth to offer more content and services. MSOs in the U.S. are in varying stages of switched video deployment. While most MSOs are facing bandwidth constraints, different MSOs have different strategies to enhance their bandwidth, based on their current state of network and alternatives considered for bandwidth reclamation. While MSO2[1] (Table 1-1) has been very aggressive with switched video market trials, some other large MSOs are primarily focusing on digital simulcasting and analog reclaim for reclaiming bandwidth. Whereas switched video is but one option for bandwidth reclamation, another option is to migrate analog programs to a digital line-up and to reclaim analog bandwidth in that manner.


1.1 Switched Digital Video Applications
Switched digital video (SDV) is particularly useful when there are a large number of digital programs offered and there is a need to preserve bandwidth. As a result, we see SDV, often called “switched video,” being predominantly deployed in the U.S. in the near-term where there is a relatively high number of video channels being offered. Some select international regions are also in early exploratory stages, such as Japan, UK, and Netherlands. The following table forecasts switched video subscribers over the next 2-3 years. We expect switched video deployments in the US to grow from 2% of the subscribers in 2006 to 45% of the subscribers in 2008[2]. 


Table 1-1: Switched Video Market Roll-Out Plans by MSO — 2006-2008 % of Subscribers Homes Passed with Switched Video Access

MSO End of 2006 2007 2008
MSO1
Trial Only
Some Deployment
Commercial deployment
in some markets
MSO2
5-10%
50%
100%
MSO3
5%
30-40%
100%
MSO4
2 Trials
25%
75%
MSO5
None
Trial Only
TBD
MSO6
None
None
Trials Only
MSO7
None
Trailas
(after GbE upgrade in 07)
Some Commercial Deployment
Aggregate*
2%
19%
45%
Source: Copyright © 2006 MRG, Inc. * MRG's analysis based on vendor and MSO inputs


1.2 Switched Video Architecture

A primary attraction of switched video is that it does not require truck-rolls[3] or set-top box replacements (for digital subscribers), and provides an incremental upgrade path to digital simulcasting that is already deployed in most networks. As shown in the list below, the switched video upgrade requires five incremental components.

a. SDV server – Collects channel change requests from STB client and commands the G-QAMs to switch IP multicast streams.

b. Master Session Resource Manager (SRM) – Allocates bandwidth in QAM between VOD and switched services, and enables existing VOD QAMs to be pooled and shared between VOD and switched video services.

c. STB client – Captures user channel change clicks and requests SDV servers. It also receives downstream commands from the SDV server to tune to the appropriate channel that matches the requested program.

d. G-QAMs – Narrow-cast G-QAMs need to be deployed at the nodes, to switch between multicast IP streams, as driven by Master SRM and SDV server. The G-QAMs have a GbE transport interface to join IP multicast streams.

e. Clamper – Typically, broadcast streams are variable-rate encoded and need to be clamped to a constant bit-rate stream (e.g. 3.75 MGps) before they can be switched.

Alternate VBR-based architectures for switched video are being proposed, to derive further bandwidth efficiencies by statistically multiplexing switched streams at the edge; however, products for such architectures are not expected until Q1/07 or later.


Conclusion — Executive Overview

The U.S. MSOs surveyed will use SDV mostly to save bandwidth for offering Long-Tail/Niche programming and HD. They also are considering on trial other bandwidth reclamation or preservation approaches including digital simulcasting statistical multiplexing wholesale conversion to digital from any addition of bandwidth and node-splitting (covered in the full version of this report); U.S. MSOs do not appear overly stressed about this issue, but clearly are taking aggressive steps to address a potential bandwidth shortage to compete with the likes of Verizon and its FTTP rollout strategy. Addressable advertising, while not a top priority for SDV, could come into play in a significant way by 2010.



Footnotes

[1] As a courtesy to survey participants for this study, each of the seven MSOs in this study is referred to by number.

[2] On average, digital subscribers make up 40-50% of all subscribers; yet, all subscribers have to be passed on a node to node basis due to the intermixing of analog and digital subs in each node.

[3] A non-responding Set-top Box (STB) (due to faulty splitterss inside the home or other reasons) may require a truck-roll; but this cost is ignored, as it is expected in <2-3% of the STBs in the field.



Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Switched Digital Video Applications
1.2 Switched Video Architecture
1.3 Costs of Deploying Switched Video
1.4 MSO's Application Priorites for Switched Video
1.5 Switched Video Applied To Targeted Regional And Addressable Advertising
1.6 Business Model of Local Ad Sales
1.7 Switched Video Applied to Long-Tail Content Delivery & HD
1.8 Conclusion — Executive Overview
   
2 Market Overview and Forecast For Switched Video
2.1 Introduction and Scope of Study
2.2 Switched Video Concept
2.3 Strategies and Options For Extending Bandwidth
2.3.1 Statistical Multiplexing
2.3.2 Digital Simulcasting and Analog Reclaim
2.3.3 Switched Video — As Defined In Earlier Section
2.3.4 Capacity Plant Upgrade
2.3.5 All Analog Migration (Through Set-top Box Upgrades)
2.4 MSO's Roll-Out Plans And 2006-2008 Market Forecast Of Switched Video
2.5 MSO's Application Priorities For Switched Video
   
3 Switched Video Architecture
3.1 Conventional Switched Video Architecture
3.2 VBR-Based Alternate Switched Video Architecture
3.3 Costs Of Switched Video Deployment
3.3.1 Cost Of Deploying Switched Video
3.4 Cost Of All Digital Node Migration Through Set-top Box Replacements
3.5 Equipment Market Forecast For Switched Video — 2006-2008
3.6 Switched Video Vendors
   
4 Applying Switched Video To Addressable And Regionally Targeted Advertising
4.1 Use Of Switched Video For Regional And Addressable Ads
4.1.1 Definitions - Local Advertising, Regional Targeted Advertising
4.1.2 Local Avail Inventory
4.1.3 Range Of Local Ads
4.1.4 Main Advertisers For Local Avails
4.2 Best TV Programs For Local And Regionally Targeted Inserts (Table Rankings 1-6)
4.2.1 Pros and Cons and Issues of Regional Targeted Advertising
4.3 Addressable (Individualized) Advertising
4.3.1 Definition
4.4 Technology Alternatives To Deliver Addressable Advertising
4.4.1 Switched Video
4.4.2 Flash Memory In Set-top Box
4.4.3 Dedicated Ad Stream And Set-top Box Switching
4.5 Architecture For Addressable Advertising
4.5.1 Usage/Planned Usage Of Addressable Ads Among Cable MSOs
4.5.2 Best TV Programs For Addressable Advertising
4.5.3 Pros And Cons Of Addressable Advertising
4.6 Business Models For Local Advertising
4.6.1 Local Ad Insertion Supply Chain
4.6.2 Sales Models For Selling National/Local Ads
4.6.3 Local Ad Inventory Distribution
4.6.4 Revenue Of Local Ads Per Zone
4.6.5 Impact of Viewer Logs On Ad Placements And Pricing
   
5 Switched Video Applied To Long-Tail Content Delivery
5.1 Definition
5.2 MSO's Plans Using Long-Tail Content Delivery
5.3 Types of Long-Tail Content Used Or Considered
5.4 Revenue Perspective Pros And Cons For Long-Tail VOD
   
6 Conclusions
   
7 Appendix
7.1 Appendix 1 — Vendor Profiles
7.1.1 Scientific-Atlanta
7.1.2 Tandberg
7.1.3 Harmonic
7.1.4 C-Cor
7.1.5 BigBand
7.1.6 Terayon
7.1.7 RGB
7.2 Appendix 2 — Local Avails By Cable Netowork
7.3 Appendix 3 — Costs Of Node-Splits And Upgrades To Switched Video


Table of Figures

Figure 1-1: SDV Architecture - Upgrading a Digital Node to Switched Video
Figure 1-2: Costs to Upgrade to Switched Digital Video
Figure 2-1: Switched Video Concept
Figure 2-2: MSO's Options and Strategies for Bandwidth Reclamation
Figure 3-1: SDV Architecture - Upgrading a Digital Node to Switched Video
Figure 3-2: Switched Digital Video Over RGB's VBR Architecture
Figure 3-3: Costs to Upgrade to Switched Digital Video
Figure 4-1: Network Topology for Local Advertising
Figure 4-2: Configuration of Local and Addressable Advertising
Figure 4-3: Addressable Linear Ad Insertion at the Node, Using Switched Digital Video
Figure 4-4: Business Model for Regional Ad Insertion



Table of Tables

Table 1-1: Switched Video Market Roll-Out Plans by MSO - 2006-2008 % of Subscribers Homes Passed with Switched Video Access
Table 2-1: Switched Digital Video Strategy by MSO
Table 2-2: Switched Video Market Roll-Out Plans by MSO - 2006-2008 % of Digital Subscribers with Switched Video Access
Table 2-3: Priority of Switched Video Applications, By MSOs
Table 3-1: Switched Video Equipment Market
Table 3-2: Key Differentiators and Pricing of Switched Video Vendors
Table 4-1: Top 10 Cable Advertising Vertical Categories
Table 4-2: MSO's Plans for Addressable Advertising
Table 4-3: MSO's Perspectivies on Issues with Addressable Advertising
Table 4-4: Advertising Operations of Various MSOs
Table 4-5: Sample Ratings of Prime-Time Programs
Table 4-6: Worksheet of Ad Revenue Per Zone


CATV Infrastructure: Assessing Strategies & Forecast — March 2007 is 56 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $1,995 US and a PDF single-departmental license for $2,295 US. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 408-453-5553 or rsmith@mrgco.com.

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