Reports, MRG Multimedia Research Group, Inc.

IPTV Global Forecast –2006 to 2010

Semiannual IPTV Global Forecast

October 2006

Published by MRG, Inc.
October 2006, 72 pages

Hard Copy Print Edition $3,995.00 US
PDF Single-Departmental License $5,200.00 US
PDF Corporate-Wide License Contact Rob Smith for Quote
The report is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service
California orders please add 8.25% sales tax.

Executive Summary

This latest forecast is an update to the IPTV Global Forecast – 2006 to 2009 published March 2006. It incorporates the most recent information on IPTV deployments, including:

The current and planned deployments of IPTV services by large carriers in Europe.
The current and planned IPTV deployments by competitive and smaller carriers in Europe.
The current state of IPTV deployments at AT&T, BellSouth, and Verizon in the U.S.
The initiation of IPTV trials in China and India that indicate very large future IPTV deployments.
The success of a number of early IPTV deployments in Canada, Europe, and Asia.

We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 181 million in 2006 to 317 million in 2010, a compounded annual growth rate of 15 percent. These DSL subscribers are the base for the IPTV subscribers shown in Figure 1-1.

Figure 1-1 shows that the number of global IPTV subscribers will grow from 8.0 million in 2006 to 50.7 million in 2010, a compound annual growth rate of 58 percent.

Europe is leading the market and has higher subscriber numbers than the previous forecast. Prospects for IPTV in Asia have improved and have resulted in a higher forecast. There has been a significant delay in AT&T's IPTV deployment in the U.S. that is pulling the North American forecast down significantly.

Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Source: Copyright © 2006 MRG, Inc.

Figure 1-2 shows that the global IPTV service revenue forecast is $1.7 billion in 2006 growing to $12.8 billion in 2010, a compound annual growth rate of 65 percent. Of the three the regions, Europe and North America are generating a significant amount of this revenue; Asia is generating a lower amount of revenue due to lower average prices.

This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.

Table of Contents

1	Executive Summary

2	Global Outlook for IPTV
2.1	Europe Continuing to Move Forward
2.1.1	France Is Very Competitive
2.1.2	Telecom Italia Enters Italian Market
2.1.3	Benelux Countries
2.1.4	IPTV Starting in Germany and the UK
2.1.5	Other Western European Countries
2.1.6	IPTV Progressing in Eastern Europe
2.2	Japan Taiwan, and Hong Kong Driving Asia
2.2.1	IPTV Will Dominate in Hong Kong
2.2.2	Taiwan Starting to Move Foreward
2.2.3	Japan Seeing Real Growth
2.2.4	Korea Starting IPTV Services
2.2.5	China Trailing in Mass
2.2.6	IPTV Starting in India
2.2.7	Activities in Other Asian Countries
2.3	The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IPTV
2.3.1	Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IPTV Activities
2.3.2	Canadian Telcos Adopting IPTV
2.3.3	Smalll U.S. Independent Telcos Continuing their Advance
2.4	IPTV Emerging in the Rest of the World

3	Global IPTV Market Forecast
3.1	Methodology
3.1.1	DSL Forecast
3.1.2	IPTV Subscribers and Revenue
3.1.3	Access System Revenue
3.1.4	Video Headend System Revenue
3.1.5	Video-On-Demand Servers
3.1.6	Set-top Box Revenue
3.1.7	Middleware Software Revenue
3.1.8	Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue
3.1.9	System Integration and Professional Services Revenue
3.2	Global Forecast Shows Strong Growth
3.2.1	Global DSL Forecast Shows a Big Increase
3.2.2	IPTV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm
3.2.3	Global System Revenue Forecast
3.2.4	Global Access System Revenue Forecast
3.2.5	Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast
3.2.6	Global IPTV Headend Revenue Forecast
3.2.7	Global IP Video-On-Demand Revenue Forecast
3.2.8	Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast
3.2.9	Global IPTV Content Protection Revenue Forecast
3.2.10	Global IPTV System Integration Revenue Forecast
3.3	IPTV Market Forecast for Europe
3.3.1	DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.2	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.3	IPTV System Revenue for Europe
3.4	IPTV Market Forecast for Asia
3.4.1	DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.2	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.3	IPTV System Revenue for Asia
3.5	IPTV Market Forecast for North America
3.5.1	DSL Subscribers for North America
3.5.2	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America
3.5.3	IPTV System Revenue for North America
3.6	IPTV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.1	DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.2	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.3	IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World

4	Opportunities, Risks, and Recommendations
4.1	Opportunities
4.2	Risks
4.3	Recommendations

Table of Figures

Figure 1-1:	Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Figure 1-2:	Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Figure 1-3:	Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast
Figure 2-1:	Projected Microsoft Market Share
Figure 3-1:	Global DSL Subscriber Forecast
Figure 3-2:	Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Figure 3-3:	Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-4:	Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-5:	Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-6:	Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Boxes
Figure 3-7:	Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Boxes by Technology
Figure 3-8:	Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue
Figure 3-9:	Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue by Technology
Figure 3-10:	Global IPTV Video-On-Demand Server Revenue
Figure 3-11:	Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-12:	Global IPTV Content Protection Forecast
Figure 3-13:	Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue
Figure 3-14:	DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-15:	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-16:	IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-17:	IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-18:	Asian DSL Subscriber Market
Figure 3-19:	Asian IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Figure 3-20:	Asian IPTV Subscriber Revenue
Figure 3-21:	IPTV System Revenue for Asia
Figure 3-22:	DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America
Figure 3-23:	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America
Figure 3-24:	IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America
Figure 3-25:	IPTV System Revenue for North America
Figure 3-26:	DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
Figure 3-27:	IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
Figure 3-28:	IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World

Table of Tables

Table 2-1:	Global IPTV Service Providers
Table 3-1:	IPTV Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-2:	IPTV Access System Per Port Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-3:	IPTV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-4:	Video-On-Demand Per Stream Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-5:	Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-6:	Set-tp Boxes Per Home
Table 3-7:	Middleware Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-8:	Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Price Per Subscriber
Table 3-9:	System Integration/Professional Services Rates
Table 3-10:	Leading Service Providers Globally
Table 3-11:	Global Service Provider IPTV System Spending: 2006-2009
Table 3-12:	Leading Service Providers in Europe
Table 3-13:	Service Provder IPTV System Spending in Europe: 2006-2010
Table 3-14:	Leading Service Providers in Asia
Table 3-15:	Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Asia: 2006-2010
Table 3-16:	Leading Service Providers in North America
Table 3-17:	Sevice Provider IPTV System Spending in North America: 2005-2009

IPTV Global Forecast – 2006 to 2010— October 2006 is 72 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $3,995.00 US, a PDF single-departmental license for $5,200.00 US, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 408-524-9767 or rsmith@mrgco.com.

Press Release
Order Form