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IPTV Global Forecast –2007 to 2011

Semiannual IPTV Global Forecast Report

October 2007

Published by MRG, Inc.
October 2007, 79 pages

Hard Copy Print Edition $3,995.00 USD
PDF Single-Departmental License $5,200.00 USD
PDF Corporate-Wide License Contact Rob Smith for Quote
The report is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service
California orders please add 9.25% sales tax

To order click here or contact Rob Smith at rsmith@mrgco.com

Executive Summary

This latest forecast is an update to the IPTV Global Forecast – 2007 to 2011 published April 2007. It incorporates the most recent information on IPTV deployments, including:

  • The current and planned deployments of IPTV services by large carriers in Europe.
  • The current and planned IPTV deployments by competitive and smaller carriers in Europe.
  • The current state of IPTV deployments at AT&T, and Verizon in the U.S.
  • The initiation of IPTV trials in China and India.
  • The success of a number of early IPTV deployments in Canada, Europe, and Asia.

We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 218 million in 2007 to 353 million in 2011, a compounded annual growth rate of 13 percent. These DSL subscribers are the base for the IPTV subscribers shown in Figure 1-1.

Figure 1-1 shows that the number of global IPTV Subscribers will grow from 13.5 million in 2007 to 72.6 million in 2011, a compound annual growth rate of 40 percent.

Europe remains the leading region, and its subscriber numbers have increased versus the April 2007 forecast. Asia's prospects have continued to improve, as tests in China and India have blossomed into successful deployments. We believe that Asian and European subscriber numbers will steadily grow closer over the period of this Forecast.

Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast

Source: Copyright © 2007 MRG, Inc.

Figure 1-2 shows that the global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast is $3.7 billion in 2007 growing to $23.2 billion in 2011, a compound annual growth rate of 44 percent. Although Asia and Europe are increasingly close in the number of subscribers, Europe and North America are generating a disproportionate amount of revenue, due to lower average prices in Asia.

Figure 1-2: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast

Source: Copyright © 2007 MRG, Inc.

This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.


Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
   
2 Global Outlook for IPTV
2.1 Europe Continuing to Move Forward
2.1.1  France Leads the World
2.1.2 Italian Market Shaken by FASTWEB Acquisition
2.1.3 Benelux Countries
2.1.4 IPTV Gets a Foothold in Germany and the UK
2.1.5 Other Western European Countries
2.1.6 IPTV Progressing in Eastern Europe
2.2 Japan Taiwan, and Hong Kong Driving Asia
2.2.1 IPTV Will Dominate in Hong Kong
2.2.2 Taiwan Continuing to Make Progress
2.2.3 Japan Seeing Real Growth
2.2.4 Korea: Moving From Tests to Deployments
2.2.5 China: Moving Quickly to Deployments
2.2.6 IPTV Still Nascent in India
2.2.7 Activities in Other Asian Countries
2.3 The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IPTV
2.3.1 Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IPTV Activities
2.3.2 Canadian Telcos Adopting IPTV
2.3.3 Small U.S. Independent Telcos Continuing their Advance
2.4 IPTV Emerging in the Rest of the World
   
3 Global IPTV Market Forecast
3.1 Methodology
3.1.1 DSL Forecast
3.1.2 IPTV Subscribers and Revenue
3.1.3 Access System Revenue
3.1.4 Video Headend System Revenue
3.1.5 Video-on-Demand Servers
3.1.6 Set-top Box Revenue
3.1.7 Middleware Software Revenue
3.1.8 Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue
3.1.9 System Integration and Professional Services Revenue
3.2 Global Forecast Shows Strong Growth
3.2.1 Global DSL Subscriber Forecast Shows a Significant Increase
3.2.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm
3.2.3 Global System Revenue Forecast
3.2.4 Global Access System Revenue Forecast
3.2.5 Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast
3.2.6 Global IPTV Headend Revenue Forecast
3.2.7 Global IP Video-on-Demand Revenue Forecast
3.2.8 Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast
3.2.9 Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Revenue Forecast
3.2.10 Global IPTV System Integration Revenue Forecast
3.3 IPTV Market Forecast for Europe
3.3.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.3 IPTV System Revenue for Europe
3.4 IPTV Market Forecast for Asia
3.4.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.3 IPTV System Revenue for Asia
3.5 IPTV Market Forecast for North America
3.5.1 DSL Subscribers for North America
3.5.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America
3.5.3 IPTV System Revenue for North America
3.6 IPTV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.2 IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.3 IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World
   
4 Opportunities, Risks and Recommendations
4.1 Opportunities
4.2 Risks
4.3 Recommendations
   
5 Index of Companies


Table of Figures

Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Figure 1-2: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Figure 1-3: Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-1: Global DSL Subscriber Forecast
Figure 3-2: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Figure 3-3: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-4: Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-5: Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-6: Global IPTV Set-top Box Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-7: Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Box Revenue by Technology
Figure 3-8: Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue
Figure 3-9: Global IPTV Video Headend Revenue by Technology
Figure 3-10: Global IPTV Video-on-Demand Server Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-11: Global IPTV Middleware Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-12: Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Forecast
Figure 3-13: Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast
Figure 3-14: DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-15: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-16: IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-17: IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Europe
Figure 3-18: DSL Subscriber Market for Asia
Figure 3-19: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
Figure 3-20: IPTV Subscriber Revenue for Asia
Figure 3-21: IPTV System Revenue for Asia
Figure 3-22: DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America
Figure 3-23: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America
Figure 3-24: IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America
Figure 3-25: IPTV System Revenue for North America
Figure 3-26: DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
Figure 3-27: IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
Figure 3-28: IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World



Table of Tables

Table 2-1: Count of Service Providers Used for this Report
Table 3-1: IPTV Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-2: IPTV Access System Per Port Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-3: IPTV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-4: Video-on-Demand Per Stream Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-5: Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-6: Set-top Boxes Per Home
Table 3-7: Middleware Pricing Assumptions
Table 3-8: Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Price Per Subscriber
Table 3-9: System Integration/Professional Services Rates
Table 3-10: Leading Service Providers Globally
Table 3-11: Global Service Provider IPTV System Spending: 2007-2011
Table 3-12: Leading Service Providers in Europe
Table 3-13: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Europe: 2007-2011
Table 3-14: Leading Service Providers in Asia
Table 3-15: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Asia: 2007-2011
Table 3-16: Leading Service Providers in North America
Table 3-17: Service Provider IPTV System Spending in North America: 2007-2011

 

Index of Companies

Alcatel-Lucent Morocco Telecom
AT&T Motorola
Belgacom MTNL
Bell Canada Neuf Cegetel
BellSouth Norilsk
BSNL NTT
BT OCN Theater Japan
CableLabs On Line TV
China Censtream Broadband Networks OnDemandTV
China Netcom Orange France Telecom
China Telecom PCCW
Chunghwa Telecom Pioneer Telephone
Cisco PrairieWave
Consolidated Communications Qwest
Dacom Reliance
Deutsche Telecom SaskTel
EITC Shanghai Media Group (SMG)
Emcali Shanghai Telecom
Fairpoint/Yeom SiOL
FASTWEB Sistema/Stream-TV
Free Softbank Yahoo
Hanaro South Central Rural Telephone
Hansenet SureWest
Hong Kong Broadband/Citi Telecom Swisscom
Huawei Telecom Italia
Iowa Network Services Telefonica
James Valley Telekom Austria
Jazztel TeliaSonera
Kansai Electric Telstra
KDDI Telsur
Korea Telecom (KT) Telus
KPN The Cyprus Telecommunications Authority
Kreatel Tiscali TV
Lyse Energi TRUE
Manitoba Telecom Services Tut
Mantanuska UTStarcom
Maroc Telephone Verizon
Microsoft Versatel
Minerva ZTE
   

IPTV Global Forecast – 2007 to 2011— October 2007 is 79 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $3,995.00 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $5,200.00 USD, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 408-453-5553 or rsmith@mrgco.com.

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