DOCSIS 3.0 — Cable's Migration to Broadband
IP Services: Global Market Trends & Forecast—2010
Quarterly Technology & Content Report — July 2010
| Hard Copy Print Edition: $1,995 USD |
Published: July 2010 by MRG, Inc. |
| PDF Single-Departmental: License: $2,995 USD |
Pages: 81 |
| PDF Corporate-Wide License: $3,995 USD |
Order |
|
Inquiries |
| California orders please add 9.25% sales tax |
Press Release |
Executive Summary
Cable Multi-system Operators (or MSOs) all over the world are deploying DOCSIS 3.0[1] and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0 technology and related architectures in order to serve the growing demand for higher speed Internet service and eventually evolve to an all IP network that also carries video services. There are a number of issues that are causing the solution to not be very clear cut: the economy, existing infrastructure, operational expenses and different approaches to DOCSIS 3.0 upgrades. There is also a deeper issue on how the MSOs intend to free up channels to be upgraded to DOCSIS 3.0, given that there isn’t usually excess bandwidth in their systems today.
This report aims to clarify this picture both for the MSOs and suppliers on a global basis. It also helps other carriers (Satellite, Telco) to better understand the competitive challenge they will be facing in 2010-2014. DOCSIS 3.0 products and architectures are examined with attention to the pros and cons for each of them. In some cases, an MSO uses a step-by-step migration strategy, while in other cases, it will be easier to quickly move to the final destination of being a converged IP network, the stated long-term goal of many of the major MSOs.
Table 8-2: Euro-DOCSIS 3.0 Service & Pricing By Country — 2010 (US$) [sample]
| Service Provider |
Country |
Total Cable Broadband Subscribers |
D3 Services |
D3 Price per Month |
| UPC Austria |
Austria |
430K |
100 Mbps |
|
| Sanoma Television Oy/Welho |
Finland |
116K |
200/10 Mbps |
$67.78 |
| Kabel BW |
Germany |
525K |
100 Mbps |
$61.36 |
Source: Copyright © 2010 MRG, Inc.
Tables and Charts are used to show regional and total Cable Broadband subscribers, DOCSIS 3.0 (and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0) subscribers, service types (by region and Operator) and service pricing, as shown here.
While the DOCSIS architecture has performed well for Operators in the past, it is still not seen as the ultimate goal. A new architecure has emerged as a candidate for the latest NGAA (Next Generation Access Architecture) called the CMAP (Converged Multiservice Access Platform) architecture, proposed primarily by Comcast, but having industry-wide support. CMAP’s technology goals are aimed at enabling lower costs, greater flexibility and incorporating a wide range of headend components. Will CMAP delay the roll-out of DOCSIS 3.0 and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0, or simply strengthen Cable's market position?
ARRIS, Cisco, Motorola, Alcatel-Lucent, Juniper Networks, Virgin Media, Kabel BW, LG Powercom, Harmonic, UPC Austria, SK Telecom, and others make up over 50 key companies described in this report.
[1] Data-Over-Cable Service Interface Specification
This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.
Table of Contents
| 1 |
Executive Summary — Moving To A Converged IP Network |
| |
|
| 2 |
Introduction and Background |
| 2.1 |
Basic DOCSIS Overview |
| 2.2 |
DOCSIS 3.0/EuroDOCSIS 3.0 Comparison |
| 2.3 |
Business Overview |
| 2.3.1 |
Business Drivers for DOCSIS 1.0 |
| 2.3.2 |
Business Drivers for DOCSIS 1.1 |
| 2.3.3 |
Business Drivers for DOCSIS 2.0 |
| 2.3.4 |
Business Drivers for DOCSIS 3.0 |
| 2.4 |
Market Drivers for DOCSIS 3.0 |
| 2.5 |
Issues for DOCSIS 3.0 |
| 2.5.1 |
Legal |
| 2.5.2 |
Technical |
| 2.5.3 |
Business |
| |
|
| 3 |
Architectures for DOCSIS 3.0 — Pros and Cons |
| 3.1 |
Initial System Review |
| 3.2 |
Switched Digital Video |
| 3.3 |
Integrated vs. Modular DOCSIS 3.0 Architectures |
| 3.4 |
Bypass Architecture |
| 3.5 |
DOCSIS Through the CMTS |
| 3.6 |
Residential Gateway Approach |
| |
|
| 4 |
Financial and Business Considerations |
| 4.1 |
Switched Digital Video |
| 4.2 |
DOCSIS 3.0 Costs & Control of Costs |
| 4.3 |
Reclaiming Bandwidth |
| 4.4 |
Residential Gateway Approach |
| 4.5 |
DOCSIS Global Service Plan Comparisons |
| |
|
| 5 |
DOCSIS 3.0 Forecasts |
| 5.1 |
Global |
| 5.2 |
U.S. |
| 5.3 |
Europe |
| 5.4 |
Asia |
| |
|
| 6 |
Recommendations and Conclusions for MSOs |
| 6.1 |
Continue with Price Reductions |
| 6.2 |
Accelerate "IPTV" |
| 6.3 |
Recognize SDV as a Long-Term Architecture |
| 6.4 |
Free Up More Bandwidth |
| |
|
| 7 |
Vendor Profiles |
| 7.1 |
Vendor Matrix |
| 7.2 |
ARRIS |
| 7.3 |
Aurora Networks |
| 7.4 |
BelAir Networks (Wireless) |
| 7.5 |
BigBand Networks |
| 7.6 |
Casa Systems |
| 7.7 |
Cisco |
| 7.8 |
D-Link |
| 7.9 |
Harmonic |
| 7.10 |
Incognito Software |
| 7.11 |
Juniper Networks |
| 7.12 |
LiquidXStreams |
| 7.13 |
Motorola |
| 7.14 |
Netgear |
| 7.15 |
RGB Networks |
| 7.16 |
Technicolor (Thomson) |
| 7.17 |
Ubee Interactive (Ambit Microsystems) |
| 7.18 |
Vecima Networks |
| 7.19 |
Verivue |
| |
|
| 8 |
Service Provider Profiles |
| 8.1 |
Asia-Pacific |
| 8.1.1 |
China |
| 8.1.2 |
Japan |
| 8.1.3 |
Korea |
| 8.1.4 |
Singapore |
| 8.2 |
Europe |
| 8.2.1 |
Austria |
| 8.2.2 |
Belgium |
| 8.2.3 |
Czech Republic |
| 8.2.4 |
Denmark |
| 8.2.5 |
Finland |
| 8.2.6 |
France |
| 8.2.7 |
Germany |
| 8.2.8 |
Hungary |
| 8.2.9 |
Ireland |
| 8.2.10 |
The Netherlands |
| 8.2.11 |
Norway |
| 8.2.12 |
Poland |
| 8.2.13 |
Portugal |
| 8.2.14 |
Romania |
| 8.2.15 |
Spain |
| 8.2.16 |
Sweden |
| 8.2.17 |
Switzerland |
| 8.2.18 |
United Kingdom |
| 8.3 |
North America |
| 8.3.1 |
Canada |
| 8.3.2 |
United States |
| 8.4 |
Summary – Global CMTS and DOCSIS 3.0 Subscribers |
| |
|
| 9 |
Appendix 1: DOCSIS/EuroDOCSIS Standards Overview |
| |
|
| 10 |
Appendix 2: CMAP Overview |
| 10.1 |
Why is there the need for CMAP? |
| 10.2 |
CMAP Objectives |
| 10.3 |
The Key Functional Goals for CMAP |
| |
|
| 11 |
Appendix 3: Glossary of Terms |
| |
|
| 12 |
Index of Companies |
Table of Figures
| Figure 2-1: |
Simple DOCSIS Network Diagram |
| Figure 2-2: |
European RF Spectrum for HFC Networks |
| Figure 3-1: |
Cisco's SDV Architecture |
| Figure 3-2: |
Before and After SDV |
| Figure 3-3: |
RGB Networks' Next Gen SDV Architecture |
| Figure 3-4: |
DOCSIS IP Video Bypass Diagram |
| Figure 3-5: |
GoBackTV's CMTS Bypass System |
| Figure 3-6: |
Cisco Architecture for DOCSIS 3.0 Network |
| Figure 5-1: |
Top Ten Countries By Broadband Lines in 2014 |
| Figure 5-2: |
Global Cable Broadband Forecast 2009-2014 (Million) |
| Figure 5-3: |
Broadband Line Growth Forecast By Market |
| Figure 5-4: |
U.S. Breakdown of Internet Connection Types |
| Figure 5-5: |
Willingness to Pay for Very High-Speed Service |
| Figure 5-6: |
European Cable Broadband Internet Subscribers By Country – 2010 (Thousands) |
| Figure 5-7: |
Asian Cable Broadband Internet Subs By Country – 2010 (Thousands) |
| Figure 8-1: |
Virgin Media Cable Broadband Net Adds |
| Figure 10-1: |
CMAP Downstream Port Assignments |
| Figure 10-2: |
Modular CMAP Architecture |
| Figure 10-3: |
CMAP RF Port Configuration |
| Figure 10-4: |
Possible CMAP Chassis |
Table of Tables
| Table 2-1: |
DOCSIS vs. EuroDOCSIS — Usable Bandwidth |
| Table 4-1: |
Global Comparison of DOCSIS 3.0 Service (US$) |
| Table 5-1: |
Percentage of U.S. Consumers Likely to Subscribe to Very High-Speed Internet |
| Table 5-2: |
Consumer Usage of High-Speed Internet (more than 50 Mbps) |
| Table 7-1: |
Vendor Matrix |
| Table 8-1: |
Asia-Pacific D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010 |
| Table 8-2: |
Europe ED3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010 |
| Table 8-3: |
North America D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010 |
| Table 8-4: |
Estimated DOCSIS 3.0 (Very High-Speed) Cable Broadband Subscribers Worldwide |
Index of Companies Referenced
| Apple Inc. (iTouch) |
Microsoft |
| Archos |
Midcontinent Communications |
Armstrong Utilities
(Armstrong Cable Services) |
Motorola (Terayon Corporation) |
| ARRIS |
Netflix, Inc. |
| AT&T |
Netgear |
| Atlantic Broadband |
Numéricable |
| Aurora Networks |
ONO |
| Avista Captial Partners |
Point Topic |
| BelAir Networks |
Portugal Telecom Group |
| BigBand Networks |
Providence Equity Partners |
| Bresnan Communications |
PT Multimedia |
| Bright House Networks |
Quadrangle |
| Broadband TS |
RCN Corporation |
| BroadBit |
RGB Networks |
| Cable Europe Labs |
Rogers Cable |
| Cablecom |
Rogers Communications |
| CableLabs |
Sanoma Entertainment |
| Cablevision |
Sanoma Television Oy/Welho |
| Cabovisão |
SARFT |
| CAIW |
Shaw Cablesystems G.P. |
| Canal Digital Norway |
Shaw Communications Inc. |
| Candover |
SK Broadband
(Hanaro Telecom) |
| Casa Systems |
SK Telekom |
| Cequel Communications Holdings |
StarHub |
| Charter Communications |
Suddenlink Communications |
| Cinven |
TDC A/S |
| Cisco Systems |
Technicolor
(Thomson) |
| Cogeco Cable |
Telenet |
| Com Hem |
Telenor |
| Comcast |
The Carlyle Group |
| Cox Communications |
Time Warner Cable |
| Dataxis Intelligence |
TiVo Inc. |
| D-Link |
Ubee Interactive
(Ambit Microsystems) |
| Get |
Unity Media |
| GoBackTV |
UPC Austria |
| Goldman Sachs |
UPC Czech Republic (UPC Czech) |
| Harmonic |
UPC Hungary |
| Incognito Software |
UPC Iceland |
| Insight Communicaitons Company |
UPC Netherlands |
| Japan Cablenet |
UPC Poland |
| Juniper Networks |
UPC Romania |
| Jupiter Communications (J:COM) |
Vecima Networks |
| Kabel BW |
Verivue |
| Kabel Deutschland |
Verizon |
| Keirsey Research |
Virgin Media
(ntl, Telewest, Virgin Mobile, Virgin.net) |
| Knology Holdings |
Virgin Media Television (VMtv) |
LG Powercom
(LG Dacom, LG Telecom) |
Warburg Pincus |
| Liberty Global |
WideOpenWest Networks (WOW!) |
| LiquidxStream Systems |
YouSee A/S |
| Magyar Telekom |
Ziggo
(Essent Kabelcom, Multikabel) |
| Mediacom Communications Corporation |
ZON Multimedia |
DOCSIS 3.0 — Cable's Migration To Broadband IP Services: Global Market Trends & Forecast—2010 (July 2010) is 81 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $1,995 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $2,995 USD, and a PDF corporate license is available for $3,995 USD. It is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service.
For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 1-408-453-5553
or rsmith@mrgco.com.
Press Release
Order Form
|
