IPTV Global Forecast –2009 to 2013
Semiannual IPTV Global Forecast Report
May 2009
Published by MRG, Inc.
May 2009, 97 pages
Hard Copy Print Edition $3,995.00 USD
PDF Single-Departmental License $5,200.00 USD
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The report is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service
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Executive Summary
This report is the latest update to the previous IPTV Global Forecast – 2008 to 2012 published October 2008. It incorporates the most recent information on current IPTV deployments around the world, as well a forecast for IPTV subscribers, service revenue, and system revenue from 2009 to 2013.
MRG breaks down the IPTV ecosystem into six markets: Access Systems, Video Headends, Video-on-Demand, Set-top Boxes, Middleware and Content Protection/Digital Rights Management (CP/DRM). In addition, we split up the market into 4 regions around the world: Europe, Asia, North America and Rest of World, as well as the Worldwide (global) market.
MRG is forecasting that the number of global IPTV subscribers will grow from 26.7 million in 2009 to 81 million in 2013, a compound annual growth rate of 32%. (See Figure 1-1.)
Figure 1-1:
Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Source:
Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
In terms of service revenue, the Global IPTV market is $6.7 billion in 2009 and growing to $19.9 billion in 2013, a compound annual growth rate of 31% (see Figure 1-2). By 2013, Europe and North America will generate a larger share of global revenue, due to very low ARPUs in China and India, the fastest growing (and ultimately, the biggest markets) in Asia.
Figure 1-2:
Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Source:
Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.
Table of Contents
| 1 |
Executive Summary |
| |
|
| 2 |
Global Outlook for IPTV |
| 2.1 |
Europe Leading the Way |
| 2.1.1 |
France Leads the World |
| 2.1.2 |
Italian IPTV Market Loses Tiscali |
| 2.1.3 |
Benelux Countries |
| 2.1.4 |
UK A Tough Market for IPTV |
| 2.1.5 |
Germany |
| 2.1.6 |
Other Western European Countries |
| 2.1.7 |
IPTV Progressing in Eastern Europe |
| 2.2 |
Momentum in Asia Shifting to China |
| 2.2.1 |
IPTV Will Dominate in Hong Kong |
| 2.2.2 |
Taiwan Continues Gains |
| 2.2.3 |
Japan's Growth Slowing |
| 2.2.4 |
Korea Moving to Full Broadcast IPTV |
| 2.2.5 |
China: Moving Quickly to Deployments |
| 2.2.6 |
IPTV Still Nascent in India |
| 2.2.7 |
Activities in Other Asian Countries |
| 2.3 |
The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IPTV |
| 2.3.1 |
Large U.S. Incumbents Shifting Into High Gear |
| 2.3.2 |
Canadian Telcos Adopting IPTV |
| 2.4 |
IPTV Emerging in the Rest of the World (ROW) |
| |
|
| 3 |
Global IPTV Market Forecast |
| 3.1 |
Methodology |
| 3.1.1 |
DSL Forecast |
| 3.1.2 |
IPTV Subscribers and Revenue |
| 3.1.3 |
Access System Revenue |
| 3.1.4 |
Video Headend System Revenue |
| 3.1.5 |
Video-on-Demand Servers |
| 3.1.6 |
Set-top Box Revenue |
| 3.1.7 |
Middleware Software Revenue |
| 3.1.8 |
Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue |
| 3.1.9 |
System Integration and Professional Services Revenue |
| 3.2 |
Global Forecast Shows Continued Growth |
| 3.2.1 |
Global DSL Forecast Shows a Continued Increase |
| 3.2.2 |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm |
| 3.2.3 |
Global System Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.4 |
Global Access System Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.5 |
Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.6 |
Global IPTV Headend System Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.7 |
Global IP Video-on-Demand Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.8 |
Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.9 |
Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast |
| 3.2.10 |
Global IPTV System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast |
| 3.3 |
IPTV Market Forecast for Europe |
| 3.3.1 |
DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
| 3.3.2 |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
| 3.3.3 |
IPTV System Revenue for Europe |
| 3.4 |
IPTV Market Forecast for Asia |
| 3.4.1 |
DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
| 3.4.2 |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
| 3.4.3 |
IPTV System Revenue for Asia |
| 3.5 |
IPTV Market Forecast for North America |
| 3.5.1 |
DSL Subscribers for North America |
| 3.5.2 |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America |
| 3.5.3 |
IPTV System Revenue for North America |
| 3.6 |
IPTV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World |
| 3.6.1 |
DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
| 3.6.2 |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
| 3.6.3 |
IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World |
| |
|
| 4 |
Opportunities, Risks and Recommendations |
| 4.1 |
Opportunities |
| 4.2 |
Risks |
| 4.3 |
Recommendations |
| |
|
| 5 |
Index of Companies |
Table of Figures
| Figure 1-1: |
Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast |
| Figure 1-2: |
Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 1-3: |
Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-1: |
Global DSL Subscriber Forecast |
| Figure 3-2: |
Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast |
| Figure 3-3: |
Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-4: |
Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-5: |
Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-6: |
Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Box Revenue |
| Figure 3-7: |
Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Boxes by Technology |
| Figure 3-8: |
Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue |
| Figure 3-9: |
Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue by Technology |
| Figure 3-10: |
Global IPTV Video-On-Demand Server Revenue |
| Figure 3-11: |
Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-12: |
Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast |
| Figure 3-13: |
Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue |
| Figure 3-14: |
DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
| Figure 3-15: |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
| Figure 3-16: |
IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe |
| Figure 3-17: |
IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Europe |
| Figure 3-18: |
DSL Subscriber Market for Asia |
| Figure 3-19: |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
| Figure 3-20: |
IPTV Subscriber Revenue for Asia |
| Figure 3-21: |
IPTV System Revenue for Asia |
| Figure 3-22: |
DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America |
| Figure 3-23: |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America |
| Figure 3-24: |
IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America |
| Figure 3-25: |
IPTV System Revenue for North America |
| Figure 3-26: |
DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
| Figure 3-27: |
IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
| Figure 3-28: |
IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World |
Table of Tables
| Table 3-1: |
IPTV Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions ($USD) |
| Table 3-2: |
IPTV Access System Per Port Pricing Assumptions ($USD) |
| Table 3-5: |
Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions ($USD) |
| Table 3-6: |
Set-top Boxes Per Home |
| Table 3-7: |
Middleware Pricing Assumptions ($USD) |
| Table 3-8: |
Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Annual Price Per Subscriber ($USD) |
| Table 3-9: |
System Integration/Professional Services Rates |
| Table 3-10: |
Leading Service Providers Globally |
| Table 3-11: |
Global Service Provider IPTV System Spending: 2009-2013 ($USD) |
| Table 3-12: |
Leading Service Providers in Europe |
| Table 3-13: |
Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Europe: 2009-2013 ($USD) |
| Table 3-14: |
Leading Service Providers in Asia |
| Table 3-15: |
Service Provider IPTV System Spending in Asia: 2009-2013 ($USD) |
| Table 3-16: |
Leading Service Providers in North America |
| Table 3-17: |
Service Provider IPTV System Spending in North America: 2009-2013 ($USD) |
| |
|
Index of Companies
| 3PLayPlus |
Ocilion Technologies |
| ACT Television |
OCN Theater Japan |
| Aksh Optifibre |
On Telecoms |
| Alcatel-Lucent |
OnDemandTV |
| Aliant |
Optima Telekom |
| Amino |
Orange France Telecom |
| Amis |
OTE |
| ANT |
PCCW |
| Antel |
P&T Luembourg |
| Arcor |
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) |
| ARRIS |
PCCW |
| AT&T |
Portugal Telecom |
| Avail |
Project Canvas |
| Avail Media |
Qatar Telecom |
| BBC |
Qwest |
| Belgacom |
Reliance Communications |
| Bell Canada |
Romtelecom |
| Bezeq |
Ruckus Wireless |
| BH Telecom |
Sagem |
| Bharti Airtel |
SaskTel |
| BigBand Networks |
Scopus |
| Bouygues Telecom |
SES Americom |
| BSkyB |
Shanghai Media Group |
| BSNL |
Shanghai Telecom |
| BT |
Singapore Telecommunications |
| CANTV |
SingTel |
| Carphone Warehouse |
SiOL |
| CCTV |
Sistema/Stream-TV |
| CenterTelecom |
SK Broadband |
| Chennai Telephones |
Smart Com |
| China Netcom |
Smart Digivision Pvt. Ltd. |
| China Telecom |
Smart Telecom |
| Chunghwa Telecom |
SoftAtHome |
| Cisco |
Softbank Yahoo |
| City Telecom |
Solidere |
| Comcast |
Sonaecom |
| Comstar-UTS |
Sony |
| Cooperative de Telefonos de Pinamar (Telpin) |
Sri Lanka Telecom |
| Crnogorski Telekom |
SureWest |
| Dacom |
Swisscom |
| Deutsche Telecom |
T-2 |
| Dialog Telecom |
TalkTalk |
| Digital Fountain |
Tata |
| DIRECTV |
Tele2/Versatel |
| DISH Network |
Telecom Italia |
| Disney |
Telecom Liechtenstein |
| Dreampark |
Telecom Malaysia |
| du |
Telefónica |
| Elion |
Telefónica Brasil |
| Entone |
Telefónica O2 |
| Ericsson/TANDBERG TV |
Telekom Austria |
| Espial |
Telekom Slovenije |
| Facebook |
Telekom Srbija |
| Fairpoint/Yeom |
Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Telkom) |
| FanCast |
Telenor |
| FASTWEB |
TeliaSonera |
| Firecomms |
Telpol |
| Fourth Media |
Telstra |
| Free |
TELUS |
| Freesat |
TEO |
| Freeview |
Teracom |
| GoBackTV |
Thomson |
| Guangzhou Digital Media Group |
T-Hrvatski Telekom |
| GVT |
Tilgin |
| HanseNet |
Time Warner Cable |
| Harmonic |
Tiscali |
| Hellas Online |
Tiscali UK |
| Hong Kong Broadband/City Telecom |
TPSA |
| iiNet |
TRE-FOR |
| Inotel |
True |
| Internode |
Tus Telekom |
| Inuk Networks |
TVN |
| Iskon |
Twitter |
| ITV |
Two Way Media |
| Jazztel |
Ukrtelekom |
| Kalimat Telecom |
UNE-EPM |
| KDDI |
United Telecoms Limited |
| KPN |
UTStarcom |
| KT |
Verizon |
| Lattelecom |
Versatel |
| LG Dacom |
VimpelCom |
| Logosoft |
Vodafone |
| Lyse Energi |
Volny |
| Magnet Networks |
VUDU |
| Malaysia Telekom |
Warner Bros. |
| Maroc Telecom |
Win Multimedia |
| Megalan Network |
Witbe |
| Microsoft |
YES |
| n |
ZTE |
| NDS |
|
| Netia |
|
| Neuf Cegetel |
|
| Nokia Siemens Networks |
|
| NTT |
|
| NTT Palala |
|
IPTV Global Forecast – 2009 to 2013 (May 2009) is 97 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $3,995.00 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $5,200.00 USD, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 1-408-453-5553 or rsmith@mrgco.com.
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