Hybrid IPTV Set-top Boxes—
Global Market Forecast & Strategy Critique:
2009-2012
Published by MRG, Inc.
June 2009, 112 pages
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Executive Summary
The purpose of this report is to identify the different hybrid STB (set-top box) products being used in the global IPTV (Telco TV) and Cable market, assess the business models available to Service Providers (SPs), and to analyze the business models and market drivers behind the entire hybrid sector. The report also analyzes market size and growth for 2008-2012 for hybrid STBs by region and type; and measures the quality of the hybrid service business models. By doing strength/weakness analysis on the various hybrid business models, the report allows SPs to objectively measure which plan can work best for them; and allows vendors to understand the strategic environment in which each configuration of hybrid STB works best.
Market STB data includes global analysis of Cable and IPTV operations using hybrid STBs, plus a county and regional break-out by broadcast type (QAM, DTH, DTT).
This report, drawn predominantly from the perspective of the STB vendors and IPTV Service Providers ("SPs" or "Operators"), consolidates opinion regarding the current prevalence of (and future prospects for) the use of hybrid STBs in the delivery of IPTV services. (1)
In addition to highlighting where there is consensus among the STB community, the report also discovers where there is significant variation in opinion, and strongly-held minority opinions which represent an interesting counterpoint to the majority view. These minority views are presented also, in order to fully inform any potential debate a vendor or Operator may have when considering a hybrid strategy.
Three different hybrid STB types (Satellite, Off-Air and QAM [Cable or IPTV]) are examined worldwide, and two different hybrid strengths are examined: "high-end" and "low-end" hybrid STBs; also, three different configurations are analyzed.
Included is the results of a summary of industry reports on the relative importance of each of the 10 market drivers (motivations) for using hybrid STBs instead of traditional (Cable or IPTV) STBs.
Figure 1-1: Motivations Driving Hybrid Usage (Ranking)
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
Above in Figure 1-1 are the drivers of use of hybrid STBs, as examined in the report, and ranked by percentages (not shown here).
Table 1-1: Definitions: Full vs. Hybrid IPTV STBs
Full IPTV |
- Add QoS Managed Broadcast & VOD/On-demand Content
|
| High-end Hybrid |
- IP Components Fully Managed (with QoS)
- Full Quality Broadcast (QAM/DTH/DTT)
|
| Low-end Hybrid |
- Full Quality Broadcast (QAM/DTH/DTT)
- IP Lower Quality (No QoS–similar to Internet Video)
|
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
Following in Figure 1-2 are different configurations of hybrid STBs examined in the global marketplace.
Figure 1-2: Configuration: Hybrid STB with Dual Input
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
The dual input hybrid STB configuration in Figure 1-2 (above) is the most common and for handling broadcast inputs: Satellite (DTH), Cable (QAM) or
Terrestrial (DTT/DVB-T).
Figure 1-3: Configuration: Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
A single coax input for both IP and broadcast services in sometimes used, as shown above in Figure 1-3.
Figure 1-4: Configuration: Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
Figure 1-4 configuration illustrates how a “high-end” hybrid STB can work with or without a separate broadcast input, using a separate home gateway. This configuration in Figure 1-4 illustrates how a pure IPTV STB can also provide full IP broadcast/on-demand services with or without a separate broadcast input.
Table 11-1 shows a sample of operator-by-operator view of installed hybrid STBs used plus projected growth for each operator plus by region (Asia, Europe, North America, and ROW).
Sample of Table 11-1: Market Size - Hybrid IPTV/STB Installed Base 2008-2012 (Slow-growth)
| Country of Operation |
Region |
Subscribers 2008 (Hybrid only) |
STB
/
Sub
|
Tot. Inst. Base 2008 |
Tot. Inst. Base 2009 (est.) |
Tot. Inst. Base 2010 (est.) |
Tot. Inst. Base 2011 (est.) |
Tot. Inst. Base 2012 (est.) |
Hybrid Type |
| China |
Asia |
20,000 |
1.00 |
20,000 |
24,000 |
28,800 |
33,120 |
38,088 |
QAM |
| Czech Republic |
Europe |
115,000 |
1.10 |
126,500 |
145,475 |
167,296 |
192,391 |
221,249 |
Terr. |
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.
(1) While this report examines primarily the Telco-based IPTV Operators, it also examines opportunities for Cable Operators to adopt hybrid technology.
(2, 3) If used for digital off-air in the U.S. or other ATSC countries, 8VSB modulation is used instead of QAM or QPSK. QAM and QPSK are variations of the COFDM modulation scheme.
This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.
Who Should Use This Report
- Media executives wanting to find new distribution platforms.
- Service Providers working in highly competitive markets.
- CapEx equipment vendors looking to develop new products and configurations.
- STB vendors looking for new global markets.
- Terrestrial broadcasting executives looking for new revenue streams.
- Satellite broadcast executives looking for new revenue streams.
- Cable and IPTV managers making important short- and long-term decisions.
- Semiconductor executives in digital media industries.
- Investment executives looking for early trends on global markets.
Table of Contents
| 1 |
Executive Summary |
| 1.1 |
Introduction |
| 1.2 |
Definitions |
| 1.3 |
Structure of Report |
| 1.4 |
Opinions |
| 1.5 |
Conclusion |
| |
|
| 2 |
Definitions of Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| 2.1 |
High-end Hybrids |
| 2.2 |
Low-end Hybrids |
| |
|
| 3 |
Drivers & Other Advantages in Using Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| 3.1 |
From Integrated Billing to Integrated Video Services |
| 3.2 |
Technical Drivers/Motivations for Using A Hybrid Approach |
| 3.2.1 |
Limitations of the Fixed Network Infrastructure |
| 3.2.2 |
Simplicity and Robustness |
| 3.3 |
Commercial Drivers |
| 3.3.1 |
Availability of Content |
| 3.3.2 |
Speed-to-Market |
| 3.3.3 |
Lower Cost of End-to-End Solution |
| 3.4 |
Regulatory Drivers |
| 3.4.1 |
Illegal for Telcos to Deliver Broadcast Channels |
| 3.4.2 |
Incentives to Incorporate Traditional Broadcast |
| 3.5 |
Temporal Shift of Emphasis |
| |
|
| 4 |
Disadvantages of Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| 4.1 |
Primary Disadvantages |
| 4.1.1 |
STB Cost |
| 4.1.2 |
In-home Technical Complexity |
| 4.1.3 |
Lack of Channel Line-up Flexibility |
| 4.2 |
Secondary Disadvantages |
| 4.2.1 |
Loss of Broadcast Interactivity (EPG Information) |
| 4.2.2 |
Subscriber Management Complexity |
| |
|
| 5 |
Hybrid IPTV STB Market Segmentation |
| 5.1 |
Geographic Segmentation |
| 5.1.1 |
Europe |
| 5.1.2 |
Risky Strategy |
| 5.1.3 |
North America |
| 5.1.4 |
ROW (Rest of World)/CALA (Central and Latin America) |
| 5.1.5 |
Asia and Australia |
| 5.2 |
Operator Type Segmentation |
| 5.2.1 |
Views of the Future as Impacted by Hybrid Service |
| 5.2.2 |
Cable Initiatives Forecast DOCSIS 3.0 |
| 5.2.3 |
Satellite to Use IP for Enhanced Services |
| 5.3 |
Operator Size Segmentation — Discussion |
| |
|
| 6 |
Characteristics of Hybrid IPTV Service Solutions |
| 6.1 |
Hybrid Service Models |
| 6.1.1 |
Elements of IPTV Architectures Using Hybrid STBs |
| 6.1.2 |
Functionality |
| 6.1.3 |
A Note of Caution |
| |
|
| 7 |
Hybrid IPTV STB Pricing |
| |
|
| 8 |
The Future of Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| 8.1 |
Landscape for IPTV STBs in General |
| 8.2 |
Landscape for Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| 8.3 |
Current Expectations |
| |
|
| 9 |
Conclusions |
| |
|
| 10 |
Company Profiles — Hybrid STB Vendors |
| 10.1 |
2Wire, Inc. |
| 10.1.1 |
Overview |
| 10.2 |
ADB - Advanced Digital Broadcast |
| 10.2.1 |
Overview |
| 10.2.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.2.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products |
| 10.3 |
Amino Communications Ltd. |
| 10.3.1 |
Overview |
| 10.3.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.3.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full-IP) STB Products |
| 10.4 |
Cisco Systems, Inc. |
| 10.4.1 |
Overview |
| 10.4.2 |
Hybrid STB Product |
| 10.4.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full-IP) STB Products |
| 10.5 |
Entone, Inc. |
| 10.5.1 |
Overview |
| 10.5.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.6 |
Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. |
| 10.6.1 |
Overview |
| 10.6.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.7 |
HwaCom Systems Inc. |
| 10.7.1 |
Overview |
| 10.7.2 |
Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Product |
| 10.8 |
Motorola, Inc. |
| 10.8.1 |
Overview |
| 10.8.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.8.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products |
| 10.9 |
Netgem |
| 10.9.1 |
Overview |
| 10.9.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.10 |
Pace plc |
| 10.10.1 |
Overview |
| 10.10.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.10.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products |
| 10.11 |
Pirelli Broadband Solutions |
| 10.11.1 |
Overview |
| 10.11.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.12 |
SecureMedia, Inc. / Inuk Networks / TVBLOB |
| 10.12.1 |
Overview |
| 10.12.2 |
Virtual STB/Inuk Networks |
| 10.12.3 |
Hybrid STB Product |
| 10.3 |
Thomson |
| 10.13.1 |
Overview |
| 10.13.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.13.3 |
Non-Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.14 |
UTStarcom, Inc. |
| 10.14.1 |
Overview |
| 10.14.2 |
Full IP STB Product |
| 10.15 |
Yuxing |
| 10.15.1 |
Overview |
| 10.15.2 |
Hybrid STB Products |
| 10.15.3 |
Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products |
| |
|
| 11 |
Global Market Analysis — Hybrid STB |
| 11.1 |
Market Size (Units) by Region—2008-2012 (Slow-growth) |
| 11.2 |
Market Share and Drivers by Region |
| |
|
| 12 |
Index of Companies |
Table of Figures
| Figure 1-1: |
Issues Driving Hybrid |
| Figure 1-2: |
Hybrid STB with Dual Input |
| Figure 1-3: |
Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem |
| Figure 1-4: |
Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway |
| Figure 2-1: |
High-end Hybrid — Video Throughput Variation |
| Figure 2-2: |
Low-end Hybrid — Video Throughput Variation |
| Figure 3-1: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Network Limitations |
| Figure 3-2: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Improve Solution Robustness |
| Figure 3-3: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Make Solution Simpler |
| Figure 3-4: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Access to Content |
| Figure 3-5: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: More Credible Consumer Proposition |
| Figure 3-6: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Speed-to-Market |
| Figure 3-7: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Reduce Cost of End-to-End Solution |
| Figure 3-8: |
Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Avoid Regulatory Restrictions |
| Figure 6-1: |
Hybrid STB with Dual Input |
| Figure 6-2: |
Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem |
| Figure 6-3: |
Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway |
| Figure 6-4: |
IP Video Quality |
| Figure 6-5: |
How On Board DVR/HDD Saves CapEx and Improves Bandwidth Flexibility |
Table of Tables
| Table 1-1: |
Definitions: Full vs. Hybrid IPTV STBs |
| Table 3-1: |
Hybrid STB/Headend Drivers - Summary |
| Table 5-1: |
Global Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2010 (Slow-growth) |
| Table 5-2: |
Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for Europe (Slow-growth) |
| Table 5-3: |
Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for North America (Slow-growth) |
| Table 5-4: |
Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for ROW/CALA (Slow-growth) |
| Table 5-5: |
Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for Asia (Slow-growth) |
| Table 7-1: |
Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions (US$) |
| Table 11-1: |
Market Size - Hybrid IPTV/STB Installed Base 2008-2012 (Slow-growth) |
| Table 11-2: |
Market Share By Region (Slow-growth) |
| Table 11-3: |
Hybrid STB—Faster-growth Scenario—2008-2012 |
Index of Companies
| 2Wire, Inc. |
Netflix |
| ADB - Advanced Digital Broadcast |
Netgem |
| Alcatel-Lucent |
NTT |
| Amazon |
OIPF |
| Amino Communications Ltd. (Tilgin) |
Pace plc |
| Amino Technologies PLC |
PCCW |
| AssetHouse |
PictureTel |
| AT&T |
Pirelli Broadband Solutions |
| ATIS |
Pirelli Group |
| Avail Media |
Polycom |
| BBC |
Premiere |
| Bell Atlantic |
SecureMedia, Inc. |
| Bell Canada |
SingTel |
| BSkyB |
SKY Italia |
| BT |
Sky New Zealand |
| Cavalier Telephone and TV |
Telecom Italia |
| China Telecom |
Telefónica |
| Cisco Systems, Inc. (Scientific-Atlanta) |
Telemex |
| Comcast |
Thomson |
| DIRECTV |
Time Warner |
| DISH NETWORK |
Time Warner Cable |
| EMBARQ |
TiVo |
| Entone, Inc. |
TVBLOB |
| FOXTEL |
TVN |
| Frontier Communications |
UPC (Liberty Global) |
| Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. |
UTStarcom, Inc. |
| Hulu |
Verizon |
| HwaCom Systems Inc. |
Viasat |
| Intel |
YouTube |
| Inuk Networks |
Yuxing |
| iTunes |
Zeugma |
| Kingston Communications |
Ziggo Cable |
| Macrovision |
Zillion |
| Maroc Telecom |
|
| Microsoft |
|
| Motorola, Inc. |
|
| Move Networks |
|
Hybrid IPTV Set-top Boxes—Global Market Forecast & Strategy Critique: 2009-2012 (June 2009) is 112 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $1,995 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $2,995 USD, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service.
For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 1-408-453-5553
or rsmith@mrgco.com.
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