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Hybrid IPTV Set-top Boxes—

Global Market Forecast & Strategy Critique:

2009-2012


Published by MRG, Inc.
June 2009, 112 pages

Hard Copy Print Edition $1,995 USD
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The report is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service
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Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to identify the different hybrid STB (set-top box) products being used in the global IPTV (Telco TV) and Cable market, assess the business models available to Service Providers (SPs), and to analyze the business models and market drivers behind the entire hybrid sector. The report also analyzes market size and growth for 2008-2012 for hybrid STBs by region and type; and measures the quality of the hybrid service business models. By doing strength/weakness analysis on the various hybrid business models, the report allows SPs to objectively measure which plan can work best for them; and allows vendors to understand the strategic environment in which each configuration of hybrid STB works best.

Market STB data includes global analysis of Cable and IPTV operations using hybrid STBs, plus a county and regional break-out by broadcast type (QAM, DTH, DTT).

This report, drawn predominantly from the perspective of the STB vendors and IPTV Service Providers ("SPs" or "Operators"), consolidates opinion regarding the current prevalence of (and future prospects for) the use of hybrid STBs in the delivery of IPTV services. (1)

In addition to highlighting where there is consensus among the STB community, the report also discovers where there is significant variation in opinion, and strongly-held minority opinions which represent an interesting counterpoint to the majority view. These minority views are presented also, in order to fully inform any potential debate a vendor or Operator may have when considering a hybrid strategy.

Three different hybrid STB types (Satellite, Off-Air and QAM [Cable or IPTV]) are examined worldwide, and two different hybrid strengths are examined: "high-end" and "low-end" hybrid STBs; also, three different configurations are analyzed.

Included is the results of a summary of industry reports on the relative importance of each of the 10 market drivers (motivations) for using hybrid STBs instead of traditional (Cable or IPTV) STBs.

 

Figure 1-1: Motivations Driving Hybrid Usage (Ranking)
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

Above in Figure 1-1 are the drivers of use of hybrid STBs, as examined in the report, and ranked by percentages (not shown here).

 

Table 1-1: Definitions: Full vs. Hybrid IPTV STBs
Full IPTV
  • Add QoS Managed Broadcast & VOD/On-demand Content
High-end Hybrid
  • IP Components Fully Managed (with QoS)
  • Full Quality Broadcast (QAM/DTH/DTT)
Low-end Hybrid
  • Full Quality Broadcast (QAM/DTH/DTT)
  • IP Lower Quality (No QoS–similar to Internet Video)
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

 

Following in Figure 1-2 are different configurations of hybrid STBs examined in the global marketplace.

Figure 1-2: Configuration: Hybrid STB with Dual Input
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

The dual input hybrid STB configuration in Figure 1-2 (above) is the most common and for handling broadcast inputs: Satellite (DTH), Cable (QAM) or Terrestrial (DTT/DVB-T).

 

Figure 1-3: Configuration: Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

A single coax input for both IP and broadcast services in sometimes used, as shown above in Figure 1-3.

 

Figure 1-4: Configuration: Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

Figure 1-4 configuration illustrates how a “high-end” hybrid STB can work with or without a separate broadcast input, using a separate home gateway. This configuration in Figure 1-4 illustrates how a pure IPTV STB can also provide full IP broadcast/on-demand services with or without a separate broadcast input.

Table 11-1 shows a sample of operator-by-operator view of installed hybrid STBs used plus projected growth for each operator plus by region (Asia, Europe, North America, and ROW).

 

Sample of Table 11-1: Market Size - Hybrid IPTV/STB Installed Base 2008-2012 (Slow-growth)
Country of Operation Region Subscribers 2008 (Hybrid only)

STB
/
Sub

Tot. Inst. Base 2008 Tot. Inst. Base 2009 (est.) Tot. Inst. Base 2010 (est.) Tot. Inst. Base 2011 (est.) Tot. Inst. Base 2012 (est.) Hybrid Type
China Asia 20,000 1.00 20,000 24,000 28,800 33,120 38,088 QAM
Czech Republic Europe 115,000 1.10 126,500 145,475 167,296 192,391 221,249 Terr.
Source: Copyright © 2009 MRG, Inc.

 

(1) While this report examines primarily the Telco-based IPTV Operators, it also examines opportunities for Cable Operators to adopt hybrid technology.

(2, 3) If used for digital off-air in the U.S. or other ATSC countries, 8VSB modulation is used instead of QAM or QPSK. QAM and QPSK are variations of the COFDM modulation scheme.

 

This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.


 

Who Should Use This Report

  • Media executives wanting to find new distribution platforms.
  • Service Providers working in highly competitive markets.
  • CapEx equipment vendors looking to develop new products and configurations.
  • STB vendors looking for new global markets.
  • Terrestrial broadcasting executives looking for new revenue streams.
  • Satellite broadcast executives looking for new revenue streams.
  • Cable and IPTV managers making important short- and long-term decisions.
  • Semiconductor executives in digital media industries.
  • Investment executives looking for early trends on global markets.

 



Table of Contents


1 Executive Summary
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Structure of Report
1.4 Opinions
1.5 Conclusion
   
2 Definitions of Hybrid IPTV STBs
2.1 High-end Hybrids
2.2 Low-end Hybrids
   
3 Drivers & Other Advantages in Using Hybrid IPTV STBs
3.1 From Integrated Billing to Integrated Video Services
3.2 Technical Drivers/Motivations for Using A Hybrid Approach
3.2.1 Limitations of the Fixed Network Infrastructure
3.2.2 Simplicity and Robustness
3.3 Commercial Drivers
3.3.1 Availability of Content
3.3.2 Speed-to-Market
3.3.3 Lower Cost of End-to-End Solution
3.4 Regulatory Drivers
3.4.1 Illegal for Telcos to Deliver Broadcast Channels
3.4.2 Incentives to Incorporate Traditional Broadcast
3.5 Temporal Shift of Emphasis
   
4 Disadvantages of Hybrid IPTV STBs
4.1 Primary Disadvantages
4.1.1 STB Cost
4.1.2 In-home Technical Complexity
4.1.3 Lack of Channel Line-up Flexibility
4.2 Secondary Disadvantages
4.2.1 Loss of Broadcast Interactivity (EPG Information)
4.2.2 Subscriber Management Complexity
   
5 Hybrid IPTV STB Market Segmentation
5.1 Geographic Segmentation
5.1.1 Europe
5.1.2 Risky Strategy
5.1.3 North America
5.1.4 ROW (Rest of World)/CALA (Central and Latin America)
5.1.5 Asia and Australia
5.2 Operator Type Segmentation
5.2.1 Views of the Future as Impacted by Hybrid Service
5.2.2 Cable Initiatives Forecast DOCSIS 3.0
5.2.3 Satellite to Use IP for Enhanced Services
5.3 Operator Size Segmentation — Discussion
   
6 Characteristics of Hybrid IPTV Service Solutions
6.1 Hybrid Service Models
6.1.1 Elements of IPTV Architectures Using Hybrid STBs
6.1.2 Functionality
6.1.3 A Note of Caution
   
7 Hybrid IPTV STB Pricing
   
8 The Future of Hybrid IPTV STBs
8.1 Landscape for IPTV STBs in General
8.2 Landscape for Hybrid IPTV STBs
8.3 Current Expectations
   
9 Conclusions
   
10 Company Profiles — Hybrid STB Vendors
10.1 2Wire, Inc.
10.1.1 Overview
10.2 ADB - Advanced Digital Broadcast
10.2.1 Overview
10.2.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.2.3 Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products
10.3 Amino Communications Ltd.
10.3.1 Overview
10.3.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.3.3 Non-Hybrid (Full-IP) STB Products
10.4 Cisco Systems, Inc.
10.4.1 Overview
10.4.2 Hybrid STB Product
10.4.3 Non-Hybrid (Full-IP) STB Products
10.5 Entone, Inc.
10.5.1 Overview
10.5.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.6 Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
10.6.1 Overview
10.6.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.7 HwaCom Systems Inc.
10.7.1 Overview
10.7.2 Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Product
10.8 Motorola, Inc.
10.8.1 Overview
10.8.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.8.3 Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products
10.9 Netgem
10.9.1 Overview
10.9.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.10 Pace plc
10.10.1 Overview
10.10.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.10.3 Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products
10.11 Pirelli Broadband Solutions
10.11.1 Overview
10.11.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.12 SecureMedia, Inc. / Inuk Networks / TVBLOB
10.12.1 Overview
10.12.2 Virtual STB/Inuk Networks
10.12.3 Hybrid STB Product
10.3 Thomson
10.13.1 Overview
10.13.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.13.3 Non-Hybrid STB Products
10.14 UTStarcom, Inc.
10.14.1 Overview
10.14.2 Full IP STB Product
10.15 Yuxing
10.15.1 Overview
10.15.2 Hybrid STB Products
10.15.3 Non-Hybrid (Full IP) STB Products
   
11 Global Market Analysis — Hybrid STB
11.1 Market Size (Units) by Region—2008-2012 (Slow-growth)
11.2 Market Share and Drivers by Region
   
12 Index of Companies


Table of Figures

Figure 1-1: Issues Driving Hybrid
Figure 1-2: Hybrid STB with Dual Input
Figure 1-3: Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem
Figure 1-4: Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway
Figure 2-1: High-end Hybrid — Video Throughput Variation
Figure 2-2: Low-end Hybrid — Video Throughput Variation
Figure 3-1: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Network Limitations
Figure 3-2: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Improve Solution Robustness
Figure 3-3: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Make Solution Simpler
Figure 3-4: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Access to Content
Figure 3-5: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: More Credible Consumer Proposition
Figure 3-6: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Speed-to-Market
Figure 3-7: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Reduce Cost of End-to-End Solution
Figure 3-8: Drivers for Hybrid IPTV STBs: Avoid Regulatory Restrictions
Figure 6-1: Hybrid STB with Dual Input
Figure 6-2: Hybrid Cable STB with Internal Cable Modem
Figure 6-3: Pure IPTV STB with External Gateway
Figure 6-4: IP Video Quality
Figure 6-5: How On Board DVR/HDD Saves CapEx and Improves Bandwidth Flexibility



Table of Tables

Table 1-1: Definitions: Full vs. Hybrid IPTV STBs
Table 3-1: Hybrid STB/Headend Drivers - Summary
Table 5-1: Global Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2010 (Slow-growth)
Table 5-2: Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for Europe (Slow-growth)
Table 5-3: Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for North America (Slow-growth)
Table 5-4: Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for ROW/CALA (Slow-growth)
Table 5-5: Hybrid Set-top Box Installed Base 2008-2009 for Asia (Slow-growth)
Table 7-1: Set-top Box Pricing Assumptions (US$)
Table 11-1: Market Size - Hybrid IPTV/STB Installed Base 2008-2012 (Slow-growth)
Table 11-2: Market Share By Region (Slow-growth)
Table 11-3: Hybrid STB—Faster-growth Scenario—2008-2012

 

Index of Companies

2Wire, Inc. Netflix
ADB - Advanced Digital Broadcast Netgem
Alcatel-Lucent NTT
Amazon OIPF
Amino Communications Ltd. (Tilgin) Pace plc
Amino Technologies PLC PCCW
AssetHouse PictureTel
AT&T Pirelli Broadband Solutions
ATIS Pirelli Group
Avail Media Polycom
BBC Premiere
Bell Atlantic SecureMedia, Inc.
Bell Canada SingTel
BSkyB SKY Italia
BT Sky New Zealand
Cavalier Telephone and TV Telecom Italia
China Telecom Telefónica
Cisco Systems, Inc. (Scientific-Atlanta) Telemex
Comcast Thomson
DIRECTV Time Warner
DISH NETWORK Time Warner Cable
EMBARQ TiVo
Entone, Inc. TVBLOB
FOXTEL TVN
Frontier Communications UPC (Liberty Global)
Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. UTStarcom, Inc.
Hulu Verizon
HwaCom Systems Inc. Viasat
Intel YouTube
Inuk Networks Yuxing
iTunes Zeugma
Kingston Communications Ziggo Cable
Macrovision Zillion
Maroc Telecom  
Microsoft  
Motorola, Inc.  
Move Networks  

 

Hybrid IPTV Set-top Boxes—Global Market Forecast & Strategy Critique: 2009-2012 (June 2009) is 112 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $1,995 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $2,995 USD, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 1-408-453-5553 or rsmith@mrgco.com.

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