March 2013

IPTV Global Forecast Through 2016


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Abstract

IPTV subscribers experienced strong growth in 2012. The success of IPTV, particularly in Asia, is due to strong growth in maturing markets like China and South Korea. Currently, China has the most IPTV subscribers worldwide and that trend will likely continue. The fastest growing IPTV regions continue to be emerging markets like Latin America and the Middle East/Africa which today have relatively few IPTV services, but hold great promise in the future. Some countries in these regions are still navigating through government regulations that prohibit telcos from offering TV services or limit foreign investment in pay-TV services. However in the last year or so, countries like Brazil and India have managed to eliminate these issues through legislation and this has opened the door to new IPTV services.

In terms of service provider revenue via subscription, the revenue forecast shows a growth from US$29 billion in 2012 to US$56.8 billion in 2016, a compound annual growth rate of 18.2%, or almost double the total from 2012.

This report includes revenue forecasts for six IPTV product segments ‒ access systems, video headends, video-on-demand servers, set-top boxes, middleware, and content protection and digital rights management. It also includes the forecast for IPTV system integration services as well as IPTV subscription revenues and total IPTV system revenue for all combined product categories.  Data is also segmented by region for Asia, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Latin America/Caribbean, the Middle East/Africa and North America as well as global totals.

This report is delivered in PDF and Excel formats.

Introduction  1

IPTV Subscriber Forecast 4

Global IPTV Market Forecast 7

Methodology  8

IPTV Subscribers and Revenue  9

Access System Revenue  10

Video Headend System Revenue  11

Video-on-Demand Server Software Revenue  12

Set-Top Box Revenue  13

Middleware Software Revenue  15

Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue  16

System Integration and Professional Services Revenue  17

Global Forecast Still Shows Continued Growth  18

Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast 21

Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast 22

Global IPTV Set-Top Box Revenue Forecast 22

Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue Forecast 23

Global IP Video-on-Demand Server Revenue Forecast 24

Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast 25

Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast 26

Global IPTV System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast 27

IPTV Market Forecast for Asia  28

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia  29

IPTV System Revenue For Asia  30

IPTV Market Forecast for Eastern Europe  31

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Eastern Europe. 31

IPTV System Revenue for Eastern Europe. 33

IPTV Market Forecast for Latin America/Caribbean  35

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Latin America/Caribbean  35

IPTV System Revenue for the Latin American/Caribbean Market 37

IPTV Market Forecast for the Middle East/Africa  38

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Middle East/Africa. 38

IPTV System Revenue for the Middle East/Africa  40

IPTV Market Forecast for North America  41

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America  42

IPTV System Revenue for North America. 43

IPTV Market Forecast for Western Europe  44

IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Western Europe  45

IPTV System Revenue for Western Europe  46

Opportunities, Risks, Recommendations 48

Risks 51

Recommendations 54

Figure 1.. Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast, 2012 to 2016. 4

Figure 2.. Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 5

Figure 3.. Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast (US$) by System Type, 2012 to 2016. 6

Figure 4.. Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast by Region, 2012 to 2016. 19

Figure 5.. Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 20

Figure 6.. Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast (US$) by System Segment, 2012 to 2016. 21

Figure 7.. Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast (US$) 22

Figure 8.. Global Forecast for IPTV Set-Top Box Revenue (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 23

Figure 9.. Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 24

Figure 10.. Global IPTV Video-on-Demand Server Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 25

Figure 11.. Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 26

Figure 12.. Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 27

Figure 13.. Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 28

Figure 14.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia by Country, 2012 to 2016. 29

Figure 15.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for Asia (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 30

Figure 16.. IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Asia (US$) by System Type, 2012 to 2016. 31

Figure 17.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Eastern Europe (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 32

Figure 18.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for Eastern Europe (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 33

Figure 19.. IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Eastern Europe (US$) by System Type, 2012 to 2016. 34

Figure 20.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Latin America/Caribbean, by Country, 2012 to 2016. 36

Figure 21.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for Latin America/Caribbean (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 37

Figure 22.. IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Latin America/Caribbean (US$) 38

Figure 23.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Middle East/Africa by Country, 2012 to 2016. 39

Figure 24.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for Middle East/Africa (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 40

Figure 25.. IPTV System Revenue Forecast for the Middle East/Africa (US$) by System Type, 2012 to 2016. 41

Figure 26.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America, 2012 to 2016. 42

Figure 27.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for North America (US$), 2012 to 2016. 43

Figure 28.. IPTV System Revenue Forecast for North America (US$) 44

Figure 29.. IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Western Europe (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 45

Figure 30.. IPTV Subscription Revenue Forecast for Western Europe (US$) by Country, 2012 to 2016. 46

Figure 31.           IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Western Europe (US$) by System Type, 2012 to 2016  4

Table 1. . Count of Service Providers by Region Used for this Report 8

Table 2. . IPTV Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region 2012 to 2016. 10

Table 3. . IPTV Access System Per-Port Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 11

Table 4. . IPTV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 12

Table 5. . Video-on-Demand Per Stream Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 13

Table 6. . Set-Top Box Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 14

Table 7. . Set-Top Boxes Per Home by Region, 2013. 15

Table 8. . Middleware Software Pricing Assumptions (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 15

Table 9. . CP/DRM Average Installation Cost Per Subscriber (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 16

Table 10. . CP/DRM Average Subscription Cost Per IPTV Subscriber (US$) by Region, 2012 to 2016. 17

Table 11.            System Integration/Professional Services Rates by Region, 2012 to 2016  18

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